Over the
past decade investors were burned by three bubbles, dot-com stocks, housing
prices and financial services. The question remains, will the coming decade be
any different, it would be my opinion that this is not likely. Despite the many
academic theories that state markets to be efficient and claim assets are given
the price they deserve, Wall Street has a habit of inflating investment values
until the bubble pops. The big question for long term investors is what potential
bubbles to steer clear off over the next decade?
The Oracle
of Omaha. Billionaire. The most successful investor in the world, Berkshire
Hathaway chairman, Warren Buffett has recently dismissed gold as a “valueless
asset”. Buffett has warned that gold was a self-inflating bubble, which was
created by investors looking for a possible alternative to property and shares.
Alex Zumpfe, a trader at Heraeus precious metals house said “Gold is facing
some selling pressure after support levels didn’t trigger sufficient buying
interest.” Could it be the case that the Oracle of Omaha has called it right
once again? Gold rose over 400% since 2000, if this were to continue gold would
be trading at over $8000/oz, looking at this would indicate signs of a bubble.
In the
coming weeks I am going to investigate historical bubbles and what we have learned
from them, if anything! I am going to look at the research behind bubbles; what
defines them; what causes them; and how we can protect ourselves again them. Finally
I will look at potential bubbles that it would be best for us to avoid.


No comments:
Post a Comment